Summary
More than 800 million people worldwide, many that live in sub-Saharan Africa, lack access to electricity. Ensuring such access is a necessary first step to ensure that the absence of affordable electricity does not become a barrier to economic growth. In rural areas, where access remains the greatest challenge, electricity is closely tied to other development outcomes: mechanization of agriculture and livestock systems, the shift from subsistence farming toward value-added production, and broader measures of human development.
The energy development community has lacked a reliable way to quantify non-household power demand or the manual substitutes. In the absence of such data, energy planning has focused primarily on the least-cost delivery of residential electricity. Investment decisions are made based on assumptions about where demand exists; without quantifying actual or potential non-household demand, planners cannot determine which technologies to deploy, where to invest, or what returns those investments might generate.
To address this evidence gap, Columbia World Projects partnered with the Government of Uganda and organizations with expertise in large-scale field research, to identify where energy investment could most benefit local economies. The initial aim was to make this information accessible to investors and policymakers. Over the course of the project, this evolved into an effort to develop lean, open-source tools that can guide investment decisions helping governments, energy service companies, and investors identify income-generating anchor loads such as irrigation, small-scale farming, food processing and storage, and light industry. The developed tools also address how to provision these loads cost-effectively, to signal opportunities for co-investment to other rural development actors, and how to coordinate across sectors so that the resulting effects on household income and electricity demand, both traditionally slow to grow, become visible.
Through these partnerships and innovative data collection, analysis, and scaling, other countries beyond Uganda have identified similar needs.
Partners:
- Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development, Government of Uganda
- Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industries and Fisheries, Government of Uganda
- Ministry of Local Government, Government of Uganda
- Ministry of Water and Environment, Government of Uganda
- Uganda Energy Credit Capitalisation Company (UECCC)
- Winch Energy Uganda
- Agriworks, Uganda
- United Nations Capital Development Fund
Statistics
- 2,000+square kilometers of land in Uganda were surveyed for this project to assess where new energy investments could be made
Team
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Edwin Adkins
Columbia UniversityProject TeamRead Full Bio arrow_right_altEdwin Adkins has 15 years of experience in energy and rural electrification planning in developing countries. Mr. Adkins now works as a coordinator for energy projects for...
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Philippe Benoit
Columbia UniversityProject LeadRead Full Bio arrow_right_altPhilippe Benoit is Managing Director, Energy, for Global Infrastructure Advisory Services 2050 and Senior Associate with the Center for Strategic and International Studies’...
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Vijay Modi
Columbia UniversityProject LeadRead Full Bio arrow_right_altVijay Modi is a professor in the Department of Mechanical Engineering at Columbia University and a member of the Earth Institute faculty. His areas of expertise are energy...
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M. Suresh Sundaresan
Columbia UniversityProject LeadRead Full Bio arrow_right_altSuresh Sundaresan is the Chase Manhattan Bank Foundation Professor of Financial Institutions at Columbia University. He has published in the areas of Treasury auctions, bidding,...
Project Team
- Aftab Zindani
- John Peacock
- Yuezi Wu
- Hasan Siddiqui
- Joel Mugyenyi
- Chris Small
- Jack Bott
- Markus Walsh
Go Deeper
News
Publications
J. Mugyenyi, I. V. Kinhonhi and V. Modi, Natural Language Processing Reveals Core Issues in Uganda's Power Grid: A Study of Outages from 2015-2022, 2024 IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference (GHTC), Radnor, PA, USA, 2024, pp. 137-142, doi: 10.1109/GHTC62424.2024.10771564.
Joel Mugyenyi; Isaac V. Kinhonhi; Vijay Modi, Electricity Outages in Uganda: Causes, Trends and Regional Disparities, 2024 IEEE PES/IAS PowerAfrica, DOI: 10.1109/PowerAfrica61624.2024.10759464
Yuezi Wu, Alex Wanume, Vijay Modi, Leveraging load shedding and daytime loads to improve mini-grid economics, Energy Policy, Volume 209, Part B, 2026, 115004, ISSN 0301-4215, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115004.